Allstate vs. Indy Valuation Trends

Clueless2015

New Member
4
My history: Former Allstate, now Independent

I'm struggling to understand the valuation differences between Allstate and the Indy world.

Allstate Data Source: PPC Loan 2019 Q2 Report on closed transactions
Indy Data Source: Agency Equity listings

Allstate 2019 - Q2
0-100,000 = 2.17x revenue
100,000-200,000 = 2.35x revenue
200,000-300,000 = 2.57x revenue
300,001+ = 2.98x revenue

Indy Listings:
0-100,000 = 1.48x revenue
100,000-200,000 = 1.84x revenue
200,000-300,000 = 1.89x revenue
300,001+ = 2.66x revenue

The gap narrows at 300k+ but still is significantly less than Allstate. Am I a fool if I'm willing to pay 2.5x revenue for anything in my state that hits the market in that 150-250k range? What am I missing that drives the lower multiple?
 
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