Let's do a little math:
Medicare costs for 2008 = $675 billion (from Medicare.gov)
/ divided by 90 million participants "
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Equals about $7500 per participant, right?
So who gets what? I would guess bureaucrats would take about 30% (typical government graft)....
Subtracting $2250 would leave $5250 to cover each person.
If MAO insurance carriers got this much to administer benefits per person, that would be roughly $437.50/
mo. Give an agent one month's revenue income (about 7%) and keep the rest= about $4850/yr. If they contain costs successfully and clear 7% net for themselves, and they have, say, 300K clients, that is $120m annual profit. Out of that, they would have to pay in-house staff, etc. As long as they don't pay astronomical CEO salaries, I'd say they would return a nice share price. Not too shabby!
Could they afford to up the agent commission?... I think so, considering it would mean an increase in sales. But then, I'm no business major.
I admit my weakest point here is the cost of running the business (in-house staff) because this is not my baliwick. Perhaps some business major on the board can make a comment.