A view from the "inside", for what it's worth:
1. Yes, the carriers had to scramble a bit to put together the new compensation packages, and yes, the October 1 deadline didn't hold. The carriers aren't stalling. Remember that there are many W2 reps out there who haven't gotten the numbers either. You should be hearing this week.
2. Between legislation and the election, my guess is that the Medicare landscape will look like this within a year or two: A nice choice for seniors between
HMO,
PPO and Medicare Supplements, with roughly 95% of the populace having access to the
MA plans. Several companies are looking at the more rural areas, so I don't think the outlying cities will be shut out that badly. That's my prediction. However, I also thought the Broncos were going to the Super Bowl last year...
3.
PFFS will be gone after 2010. In addition to the recent legislation, these plans are simply too expensive to operate. Managed care contains costs far better. So, in a typical city, you may see choices like $40
HMO, $75
PPO, $150 and above Medigap/PDP. That's a decent menu to choose from.
4. Remember that
neither candidate cares much for Medicare Advantage. Ironically, Obama appears to be willing to work with it, at least. The carriers will be able to offer
MA plans without the "additional subsidies", but those $0 premiums won't be around long. I frankly can't figure out what McCain would do.
5. I preach this all the time, but I can't blame Medicare for putting the hammer down. I've heard some pretty nasty horror stories about the behavior of a few agents (I've also seen video), and Medicare is acting to protect the seniors. The rules are tough, but they were earned. A few bad apples, etc. etc...
Not much new here, you guys have a good handle on the situation.
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