Premiums to Skyrocket Under Obamacare

dgoldenz

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Virginia
Surprise.



Thursday, October 29, 2009 6:55 PM

By: David A. Patten
Millions of consumers will suffer skyrocketing insurance premiums next year due to "indirect taxes" contained in both the House and Senate versions of healthcare reform, according to various medical and insurance industry experts.

Healthcare reforms that were supposed to contain costs will actually cause a sharp hike in premiums, they add. In fact, several studies indicate consumers' premiums could more than double next year if healthcare reform takes effect.

"So even though this bill tries to hide these costs as indirect taxes," Sen. Orrin Hatch, R-Utah, recently told a business symposium, "average Americans who purchase health plans, take prescription drugs, or use medical devices will end up footing the bill."

The rate hikes stem from the hundreds of billions in proposed fees and taxes levied on providers.

According to the Senate's Joint Committee on Taxation, for example, the Finance Committee's proposal would assess $322 billion in taxes and fees on insurance premiums, prescription drugs, and medical devices.

The Committee and other experts say virtually all of those costs will be passed along to consumers in all tax brackets – despite President Barack Obama's pledge not to raise taxes "one dime" on those earning less than $250,000 per year.

Another likely frustration for consumers: The premium hikes will take effect right away, while the subsidies and benefits in healthcare reform won't completely kick in until 2014.

Scott Gottlieb, a physician and American Enterprise Institute resident fellow, stated Thursday in a New York Post op-ed that by front-loading the costs and back-loading benefits, Congress is resorting to "a gimmick that imposes a stiff price on the public."

That "gimmick," according to Gottlieb: Using 10 years of added fees and taxes on providers to offset about five years worth of benefits. Those costs "will immediately shift onto consumers, in the form of higher prices on medical products and rising premiums," he says.

Democrats have promised to insure an additional 35 million Americans, without raising taxes or increasing the tsunami of deficit red ink spilling out of Washington these days.

Douglas Holtz-Eakin, the former director of the Congressional Budget Office, appeared to concur with Gottlieb's assessment in a recent Wall Street Journal op-ed.

"These costs will be passed on to consumers by either directly raising insurance premiums, or by fueling higher health-care costs that inevitably lead to higher premiums," he wrote.

The bottom line: Most voters will be paying higher premiums for years before they see any benefits. That could spell serious trouble for Democrats in the 2010 midterm elections.

The Senate bill proposes $2.3 billion in fees on brand-name drugs, $4 billion on medical devices, and $6.7 billion levied on insurance companies, plus more than $100 billion in Medicare reimbursements to medical providers – all costs that would be shifted back onto consumers.

Speaker Nancy Pelosi's House bill appears even more expensive. It would impose $150 billion in Medicare cuts on the pharmaceutical industry, and a 2.5 percent tax on companies that manufacture medical devices.

"Most of astounding of all," Holtz-Eakin wrote, "is what this Congress is willing to do to struggling middle-class families. The bill would impose nearly $400 billion in new taxes and fees. Nearly 90 percent of that burden will be shoulders by those making $200,000 or less."

Just how much will insurance premiums jump once the Democratic reforms kick in? The figures vary from state to state.

According to a recent study by Wellpoint, the massive Blue Cross/Blue Shield licensee that provides insurance coverage to one in nine Americans some older and less healthy consumers could actually see rate reductions. But those cuts would be more than offset by the spiraling premium increases hitting other insurance customers.

Based on provisions in the bill passed by the Senate Finance Committee – which is more conservative than the broad proposals put forth by Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Speaker Pelosi – Wellpoint projects healthy people in their mid-20s could see their annual premiums increase by over 150 percent in at least seven states: Indiana (199 percent); Kentucky (199 percent); Maine (172 percent); Missouri (199 percent); Ohio (199 percent); Virginia (175 percent); and Wisconsin (199 percent).

For individuals of average age and health, and the small businesses employing them, the estimated rate hikes in the 14 states where Wellpoint does business would be:


California

Individual – 53 percent
Small Employer – 22 percent

Colorado

Individual – 52 percent
Small Employer – 9 percent


Connecticut

Individual – 64 percent
Small Employer – 8 percent


Georgia

Individual – 85 percent
Small Employer – 16 percent


Indiana

Individual – 122 percent
Small Employer – 20 percent


Kentucky

Individual – 122 percent
Small Employer – 22 percent


Maine

Individual – 172 percent
Small Employer - 18 percent


Missouri

Individual – 122 percent
Small Employer – 18 percent


Nevada

Individual – 61 percent
Small Employer – 16 percent


New Hampshire

Individual – 19 percent
Small Employer – 15 percent


New York

Individual – 82 percent
Small Employer – 6 percent


Ohio

Individual – 122 percent
Small Employer – 16 percent


Virginia

Individual – 96 percent
Small Employer – 25 percent


Wisconsin

Individual – 122 percent
Small Employer -17 percent


It's important to note, however, that Wellpoint's projected rate increases do not account for the increase in medical-service costs over time. Nor do they account for other, less obvious costs likely to accompany reform. So the actual premium increases might be higher.

Assuming voters aren't happy with skyrocketing premiums, the political pressure to limit the cost-shifting could be tremendous. Dr. Russell L. Blaylock, a board-certified neurosurgeon and staunch opponent of current reform proposals, who authors the Blaylock Wellness Report for Newsmax Media, predicts that politicians would attempt to block the cost-shifting to consumers.

Doing so, he warns, would seriously impact the quality of U.S. healthcare.

"Of course, the government will anticipate this and prevent the doctors and hospitals from passing these costs to their patients," Blaylock tells Newsmax. "And this leaves one option: Severe rationing of care, which the government has wanted all along."

The spiraling costs contained in the Affordable Health Care for America Act unveiled Thursday by Pelosi drew heavy fire:


Competitive Enterprise Institute senior fellow Gregory Conko called the bill "a recipe for exploding costs," adding: "The Affordable Health Care for America Act is anything but affordable. It will force millions of Americans to pay higher health insurance premiums, it taxes individuals who would like to purchase insurance options that don’t meet standards set by Washington bureaucrats, and it forces businesses and individuals to pay for insurance benefits they don’t want and don’t need."


The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the National Retail Federation, The National Association of Manufacturers, and seven other major associations sent a letter to Pelosi warning the legislation "falls short of the bipartisan goal of controlling costs."


Rep. Mike Pence, R-Ind., the chairman of the House Republican Conference, told CNN the Pelosi plan "looks like another freight train of big government with more taxes, more mandate and more spending – and that's not what the American people want in health care reform." He added that a search showed the nearly 2,000-page bill contains the directive "shall" 3,425 times.


Rep. Tom Price, R-Ga., remarked in a statement: "The people of this country want reforms that provide them with more choices, more competition, more innovation, higher quality, and lower costs. Instead, Democrat leaders have worked in secret to write a bill that does exactly the opposite."


Karen Ignagni, the president of the America's Health Insurance Plans trade group that lobbies Congress on behalf of insurance companies, called the proposal "a missed opportunity." Ignagni predicted "families and employers will not be able to afford coverage and health care costs will rise at a rate much faster than the overall economy is able to sustain." In addition to the Wellpoint study, AHIP says three other reports, including one by PricewaterhouseCoopers, project that current legislative proposals will cause premiums to increase "far faster and higher" than they would under the current system.

Voters probably won't like getting socked with higher premiums if the reforms pass. But most of them won't be that surprised.

A recent Rasmussen Reports poll showed 57 percent of voters nationwide expect the reforms that were supposed to reduce costs actually will make them go up. Also, 53 percent of voters expect the quality of healthcare in the post-reform era will get worse.
 
Surprise.

.

How many times do I have to point out to you guys that Mr. Obama assures us that the average premium will drop by $2,000 a year and it "will not add a dime" to the national debt.

You guys are just pissed because George Bush didnt win the election in the fall. Oh wait, he wasnt on the ballot even though Mr. Obama is still campaigning against him.

Personally, I am starting to feel the love.

:cool:
 
If either of these bills go through its game over for small group health insurance.

Very few companies under 50 lives will be able to absorb these costs. Then the ones that can the employees will not be able to afford the plans which will create a serious participationproblem.

As brokers you will have to get very creative on plan design.

Instead of dual options you will have to look at class options.

Either way we as consumers and brokers are screwed!
 
Either way we as consumers and brokers are screwed!

Maybe if your business model stays the same, but you'll be able to change and adjust. As long as you have the client relationship, you'll be fine. You could be forced to go sell cars, if you took care of your clients, some of them would buy a car from you if you kept in touch.
 
Maybe if your business model stays the same, but you'll be able to change and adjust. As long as you have the client relationship, you'll be fine. You could be forced to go sell cars, if you took care of your clients, some of them would buy a car from you if you kept in touch.

Not me. I am getting into the health insurance when the reforms come to my state. I mean as part of the mix and with bounded expectations.

You guys sit tight for a while. Public option is not going to happen. Public option with trigger is. They will pass some kind of 200,000 foot level bill in late winter which will have so many ifs ands and buts that it will take up unitl this time next year to see if there is even any funding for it. Then the new congress comes in and we start all over again.

Reform is coming and it will include guaranteed issue and plenty or government interference so I am not stepping back from that. But these bills out on the floor are just an invitation for a bloodbath.

Knock off all this crap about talkng about going back to selling cars.
A year ago half the people here had a hundred and one reasons why reform would just blow over. Now we have folks who have a hundred and one reasons why the sky is falling. The answer is that reform is coming but Obama and Pelosi are not going to get everything they want. If you like a good fight rather than all this speculation then you will love the next few months. Begin to feel the love a little.
 
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