if they put a 7500 moop on plans and combine med shop deductible the idea is that's it---no supps since they've limited your exposure.
Limited, not eliminated. There are people that buy hospital indemnity plans who have MAPD to eliminate big bills. Those plans are mostly capped at $6700 per year. Original Medicare will never be a dollar one coverage and with a $7500 moop, the premiums on the Medsupp will be lower, but people will still buy them. It just won't be as lucrative as before. And with a lower premium, people will be more likely to buy. You can't make the argument that a $7500 moop will have people dropping Medigap altogether...
But in reality, with Medicare going bankrupt in the not too distant future, and the unfunded liabilities for Medicare and Social Security in the $50 trillion to $100 trillion range, how could congress pay for a $7500 moop (from the current unlimited moop)? If anything, the deductibles will probably rise and per day in hospital and skilled nursing facility will probably rise and the Part B coinsurance will probably rise to 30% from the current 20%. Thus, Medigap will have to cover more and premiums will rise. That's why I think this whole exercise is a bunch a crap. I just don't see it happening. Congress is going to have to close that $50T to $100T liability somehow, and the best way is to shift more cost to the beneficiary....just reality. The Dems want to give away the farm to buy votes, but they'll just sink this country into a depression. The more unfunded liabilities, the higher the deficit, the more QE the Fed Reserve will have to do which will eventually sink the dollar and potentially collapse the economy. I can't see it happening. Fiscal restraint is coming. Look what happened to Greece...without fiscal restraint, we will be there soon...